Our Five Best Bets Entering Week 3 the NFL

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5 Best Bets for Sunday’s NFL Week 3 Slate

Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins

Game Preview & Pick:

I’m still giddy thinking back on the Dolphins thrilling come from behind win against the Ravens in Baltimore last Sunday. Despite being on the Ravens ML, and using that as my emotional fallback after the Dolphins went down 28-7, you can’t put a price on your fanhood. I’m not going to all the sudden become a believer in Tua overnight, but maybe he can become to Mike McDaniel what Drew Brees was to Sean Payton? It certainly doesn’t hurt having two of the fastest players in the NFL to chuck the ball up to in Hill & Waddle either!

The Bills are the best team in the NFL, and I have them +700 to win the Super Bowl, but I can see this being a letdown spot traveling to Miami on the short week after pulverizing the Titans on Monday Night Football. The Bills have won seven straight games against the Fins, but will be without five of their defensive starters for this one, increasing the chances of Tua having some success through the air again. The temperature in Miami is usually a factor, with the Dolphins wearing their white jerseys at home in an attempt to cook their opponent. I’m not saying the Fins snap their losing streak against Buffalo in this one, but I think they can at least keep it close against a divisional foe.

Dolphins +5 (-110) 1 unit

Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings

Game Preview & Pick:

I got smoked on the Vikings / Eagles over on Monday Night because I forgot one of my cardinal rules of always fading Kirk Cousins in a primetime game… Fortunately I had the Eagles -2.5, so it was a wash, but I feel foolish nonetheless. This game is back at a reasonable 1pm kickoff, where Cousins should feel more comfortable throwing play action bombs to Justin Jefferson. The Lions are a scrappy team, who play hard for Dan Campbell, but this is their first road game of this season, and I expect the Vikings to come out fired up after that embarrassing loss to the Eagles.

Vikings -6 (-110) 1 unit

Bonus Pick:

Justin Jefferson over 98.5 receiving yards (-115) 1 unit

Adam Thielen anytime touchdown scorer (+125) .5 unit

Jacksonville Jags @ LA Chargers

Game Preview & Pick:

This line has dropped 4 points with the news that Justin Herbert is questionable to play, which seems like a major overreaction to me. The Chargers defense is still healthy for this game, and that’s the unit that I believe will be making life miserable for Trevor Lawerence and the Jags all day. Chase Daniels is, well, Chase Daniels, but we see backup quarterbacks seize their moment in the sun all the time in the NFL, so I’ll happily take the discount on the spread, but I wouldn’t blame you if you’re more comfortable taking the Chargers ML. DraftKings doesn’t have any prop bets on receptions / receiving yards for Austin Ekeler, but I’d expect Daniels to look for him early and often if Herbert doesn’t suit up, so keep a look out for any books that have odds on that.

Chargers -3 (-110)

Atlanta Falcons @ Seattle Seahawks

Game Preview & Pick:

The Falcons appear to be a scrappy team this season, covering both of their games thus far, despite being 0-2. The Seahawks fans willed their team to a week 1 win against their formerly beloved quarterback, but showed their true colors against the Niners last week, and I think that’s the team that we’ll see for the majority of their games this season. As crazy as it is so say, the Falcons are the more talented team here, especially after the loss of Jamal Adams for the season, and I think they get their first win of the season here – the 12s aren’t enough to make Seattle a favorite.

Falcons +1 (-110) 1 unit

Bonus Pick:

Cordarrelle Patterson over 61.5 rushing + receiving yards (-115) 1 unit

Rashaad Penny anytime touchdown scorer (+170) .5 unit

Green Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay Bucs

Game Preview & Pick:

I wrote about my feelings towards this game during my Early Leans preview earlier in the week, and nothing has changed from my perspective, aside from being able to get the Bucs at a better number now. I’m still in wait and see mode in regards to the Packers offense without Davante Adams, when they’re not playing the Bears at Lambeau, and the Bucs have a championship caliber defense that will be playing in front of their home fans for the first time this season. The Packers run defense sure looked pretty suspect last week, giving me some exiety that they’d end up covering the 10 point spread (thank god that goal line touchdown review wasn’t overturned), so I think Fournette is in for a big game. I expect Brady to be playing with a chip on his shoulder in this one as well, after dealing with some negative media attention for the only time in his career other than Deflategate (you know you cheated, Tom), but I’m most inclinded to grab the Bucs ML, given that the spreads come down to basically a pickem anyway

Bucs ML (-115) 1 unit

Bonus Pick:

Leonard Fournette over 68.5 rushing yards (-115) 1 unit

Leonard Fournette over 26.5 receiving yards (-110) 1 unit

Leonard Fournette anytime touchdown scorer (+105) .5 unit