Overall record 9-16 (-5.9 units)
Last week 1-4
Recap: Another tough week, but the difference being the losses were not close like the previous weeks. Georgia fell back down to Earth and looked beatable, Wisconsin lost to their former coach and then fired their coach, Army/GA State left a lot of points on the field we could have used, and Wake Forest/Florida State did the same. Of course this was the week I decided to not recommend Georgia Tech ML and they hit +1050. At least I bet it personally, but it looks like Vegas woke up and put Georgia Tech as only a 3-point dog this week at home against Duke.
Week 5 picks
These 2 teams met in Fort Collins last November with the Pack coming out on top in a 52-10 victory. Since then, the Rams are still struggling at 0-4 and the Pack are in a bit of a better position at 2-3. Both teams are breaking in new QB’s are finding scoring difficult. The Pack are averaging 24 points a game while CSU is coming in at 10.8. The defenses tell a similar story with the Pack giving up 31 per game while the Rams are giving up 41. Both of those trend in favor on Nevada in addition to being at home. I think the big difference here will be the run game where Nevada has a huge advantage. Nevada is getting 133 yards per game on the ground versus the Rams at 46 per game. Expect to see Toa Taua of Nevada having a big game.
Nevada -3.5 vs Colorado State 1.1 units to win 1 unit
Dysfunctional. That is exactly what Arizona State has been since hiring Herm Edwards and continuing after his firing. ASU has lost their first two Pac-12 games by 17 and 21 and have lost 4 games in a row overall. They are reeling. Washington got off to a good start, but struggled with mental mistakes against UCLA last Friday night. Penix Jr should bounce back and lead the 18th scoring offense in the country back to a W and a cover.
Washington -13.5 @ Arizona State 1.1 units to win 1 unit
Ole Miss is off to a 5-0 start with a solid win last week against Kentucky. They will face a Vandy team that is 0-2 against P5 teams and has lost those two games by an average of 36 points. Ole Miss will continue to pound the ball with their stable of backs and Vandy will have trouble stopping them. AJ Swann is expected to make his 3rd career start despite going 13 of 26 last week for 115 yards. No offense and no home field advantage should lead to a large Mississippi victory.
Ole Miss -17 @ Vanderbilt 1.1 units to win 1 unit
BC comes in at 2-3 with their first FBS and ACC win of the season last week against Louisville. Although against P5 competition, BC has some bad losses on the year including Rutgers, VT by 17, and FSU by 30. I see no reason Clemson won’t win and won’t blow them out. BC has shown little to suggest they will put up a fight. It’s a good number under the important 21, so get on it early before it moves to 21.
Clemson -20.5 @ Boston College 1.1 units to win 1 unit