We close out week 6 with another AFC West showdown, the Denver Broncos travel to Los Angeles to take on the Chargers. These two teams had super bowl aspirations before the season started and both have not yet found their footing. The Chargers have a top five roster in the league but have been decimated by injuries. The Broncos on the other hand seem to be a mess on offense and on their coaching staff. Let’s get into it.
Los Angeles Chargers
The Chargers haven’t been home since week 3 when they got embarrassed by the Jaguars (who haven’t won since). The injuries have really piled on the Chargers, but they slowly are getting healthier, Joey Bosa is still out but Justin Herbert seems to be healing well and is playing like his usual self following a rib injury. A bonus for the Chargers is that Austin Ekeler looks to have found his rhythm and is playing very well after a slow start to the season. The Chargers currently rank 10th in offensive DVOA despite missing their best WR since week 2, and the defense is middle of the pack at 16th in defensive DVOA. Despite some questionable coaching decisions and injuries, the team is 3-2 and in the hunt for the division with the Chiefs loss to Buffalo on Sunday.
The Broncos probably didn’t expect week six in a must win situation to keep their season alive but here they are. They got embarrassed last week by the Colts on Thursday night, and the Colts didn’t even play well. The good news is the Chargers seem to be the only team in division they can beat, the Broncos have only won 5 games in division since 2019 and they’ve all been against the Chargers which is amazing. The Broncos are also the only team in the AFC west without a division win. When you break it down though it makes sense, Nathaniel Hackett doesn’t seem to be an NFL level head coach and Russell Wilson has played worse than his backup in Seattle (Geno Smith) and now has a partially town lat in the shoulder of his throwing arm. The Broncos key to winning this game will be their defense which ranks 2nd in defensive DVOA, with the offense ranking a lowly 27th.
Picks: Chargers Moneyline -210, Mike Boone anytime touchdown score +170
While it’s a little pricey I think the Chargers win the game I’m just not sure by how much. The Chargers are getting healthier and Justin Herbert looks like he’s back to his old self. Jamaree Salyer has done a great job filling in for Rashawn Slater at left tackle, they’re still probably going to miss Keenan Allen but they still have Mike Williams. It also looks like the Broncos are getting bit by the injury bug with Wilsons partially torn lat, Denver also loses their LT and key pass rushers for this game. This will be the toughest test yet for the Broncos defense that has played well but im personally still not sold on. Chargers to win. Also like Mike Boone anytime touchdown score, Chargers still have trouble stopping the run and the Broncos will probably try to limit Russell Wilson throwing the ball with his torn lat.