Our Best Bets Entering Week 1 of CFB

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Overall record 17-27 (-9.5 units)

Last week 1-2

Recap: South Carolina really is like the old Beamer Virginia Tech teams. The way South Carolina can win is through gritty defense, field position, win the turnover battle, and a big special teams play. South Carolina could not get anything going on offense and was completely shut down by the Gators defense. The Gators defense was able to get us 38 towards the 58 over, however Spencer Rattler and Co could only muster 6 points. Michigan was also dominate and covered for us against Nebraska. They took their foot off the gas pedal though and barely covered for us. The Texas A&M circus continued last week with Jimbo as the ring leader. They were beat by a less talented roster and interim coach that has never coached before. A&M just recently had a 5 star freshman hit the transfer portal and we assume that will only be the beginning. Perhaps they should practice yelling more or see if they can get a waiver from the NCAA to have 12 men on the field.

Week 12 picks

TCU and Sonny Dykes look legit as they went down to Austin last week and beat Texas as a 7 point underdog. Both teams matchup well from a stats perspective and on both sides of the ball. The key for TCU is to take care of the ball. Quarterback Max Duggan only has 2 INT’s on the year compared to 25 touchdowns. As long as he values possession, I see TCU winning by 7-14.

Texas Christian University -2 at Baylor (-110) 1.1 units to win 1 unit

We are going back to the Big 12 and the state of Texas for our next pick. Texas lost last week 17-10 to TCU for one reason and one reason only…the run game. TCU held Texas to 28 yards on the ground and star running back Bijan Robinson to 29 yards. Luckily for Texas, Kansas is terrible at stopping the run. The Jayhawks have given up 250 plus yards in 3 of their last 4 games. Robinson runs wild to setup the pass game for Ewers. Texas by double digits.

Texas -9 at Kansas (-110) 1.1 units to win 1 unit

Ole Miss was tied with Bama going into the 4th quarter last week, but just could not bring it home losing 30-24. Mississippi was able to run for 191 yards on Bama and I think they will be able to go for 250 or more against Arkansas. We have seen Arkansas struggle down the stretch, but compete hard against LSU in a rivalry game. As long as Ole Miss isn’t distracted by Lane Kiffin rumors, I see them bouncing back against a team they are better than.

Ole Miss -1.5 at Arkansas (-110) 1.1 units to win 1 unit

Caleb Williams > DTR. Travis Dye being out for USC worries me, but Stanford transfer Austin Jones can handle the load. His average of 4.5 yards per carry in his career (6.4 yards this season) will be enough to make UCLA respect the run

Southern Cal -2.5 at UCLA (-110) 1.1 units to win 1 unit