Early Leans Entering Week 13 of the NFL

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New York Jets +3 (-115) @ Minnesota Vikings

It’s clear from the responses of the Jets players after their beatdown of the Bears last week that the team collectively hates Zach Wilson (who doesn’t) and LOVES them some Mike White. The chances of White repeating his near flawless performance against Chicago are slim, but with the way the Jets defense is playing all he really has to do is not lose the game for them, which is something the angry Cabbage Patch Kid who formerly took snaps under center for them never seemed to grasp. White is a consummate professional who brings his lunch pail to work everyday, and actually has a firm grasp of the playbook, so I think there will be some opportunities for him to take advantage of a Vikings secondary that’s giving up an NFL worst 276.1 yards per game through the air. Minnesota’s tough at home, with their single loss this season coming against Dallas week 11, when the Cowboys absolutely ate their lunch, but the Jets are 4-1 on the road, and their defense should force Kirk Cousins into some Kirk Cousins moments, keeping this game close.

Detroit Lions +1 (-110) vs Jacksonville Jags

I love betting on the Lions at home because Jared Goff has a 15:3 touchdown to interception ratio on the season. Detroit is an easy team to root for because they have no quit under head coach Dan Campell. A heartbreaking Thanksgiving Day loss to the Bills snapped their 3 game winning streak (they still easily covered the spread!), but I like this spot for them, playing against a Jacksonville team coming off an emotional last minute victory against the Ravens last week. The Jags had an extra week to prepare for the Ravens, coming off their bye, and it might be a little tougher for them to get up for this week’s matchup against the Lions. With Detroit getting some extra rest, I expect them to handle their business against a Jacksonville team that is 1-4 on the road. I’ll probably be sprinkling a little something on the over as well, as I expect this game to be a shootout.

Baltimore Ravens -8.5 (-110) vs Denver Broncos

I wish I had grabbed this line at 8 earlier in the week, but I still think it’s worth playing at this number, given that the Broncos are straight trash. Nathaniel Hackett is the worst coach in the NFL, and apparently Russel Wilson being good at football was just a figment of our imagination – I mean seriously, does Pete Carroll just deserve ALL the credit for Wilson’s success in Seattle?!?! Baltimore is coming off a frustrating loss to the Jags, and an angry Ravens team spells bad news for Denver. The Broncos only road victory this season came against the Jags in London, and the Ravens are 12-2 ATS in December dating back to 2019. After a strong start to the season, Denver’s defense has given up 185, 191, and 155 rushing yards in 3 of their past 5 games, so they better get it fixed quick before facing a Ravens team that is averaging 162.7 rushing yards per game, good for second best in the league, or else this one could get ugly.