How to Bet on the NFL Entering Week 14!

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Our NFL Expert gives his best bets for the Sunday Slate!

Season Recap:

We’re officially three quarters of the way through the 2022 season, and it’s been a somewhat successful one thus far, standing at 30-21-4, but there’s always room for improvement. After scorching the earth through the first 10 weeks, picking games at an absurd 69% clip, there was due to be some regression, but we’re gearing up for a strong finish.

5 Best Bets for Sunday’s NFL Week 14 Slate

Carolina Panthers @ Seattle Seahawks

Game Preview & Pick:

Seattle likely won’t have Kenneth Walker III for this game, which is definitely a blow, but I’m putting my faith in Geno Smith and The 12’s to keep the Seahawks rolling in this one. The last time we saw the Panthers in action they were further piling onto the disaster that is the Broncos season back in week 12, so it’s going to be delicious watching Seattle get the job done with Russ’s former backup quarterback. Carolina’s defense has been impressive of late, and I do have some concern that Seattle’s rookie offensive lineman have started to hit a wall, but the Panthers are 0-5 on the road so far this season, and I don’t see that changing here, even with an extra week to prepare.

Seattle -3.5 (-115) 1 unit

Bonus Pick:

Brian Burns over .75 sacks (if you can find a prop bet for it) 1 unit

D’Onta Foreman anytime touchdown scorer (+100) 1 unit

D’Onta Foreman over 63.5 rushing yards (-115) .5 unit

Geno Smith over 259.5 passing yards (-115) .5 unit

Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions

Game Preview & Pick:

I wrote about grabbing the Vikings +2.5 in my Early Leans preview this week, so I won’t get into too much detail here, but I’m going to make this game really interesting by grabbing the over as well. The over has hit in Detroit’s last 4 games, and the first game between these two teams back in week 3 combined for 52 points. This game just feels like it’s gearing up to be a track meet at Ford Field, and who doesn’t love rooting for points!

Over 51.5 points (-110) 1 unit

Bonus Pick:

D’Andre Swift anytime touchdown scorer (-120) 1 unit

D”Andre Swift over 63.5 rushing + receiving yards (-120) 1 unit

Jared Goff over 1.5 touchdown passes (-150) 1 unit

Justin Jefferson over 94.5 receiving yards (-115) .5 unit

Amon-Ra St. Brown over 6.5 receptions (-160) .5 unit

Miami Dolphins @ LA Chargers

Game Preview & Pick:

The biggest factor for the Dolphins in this game will be the status of left tackle, Terron Armstead. Armstead left the Dolphins week 12 win against the Texans with a pectoral injury, resulting in Tua being sacked 5 times in 3 drives before he was pulled from the game. Armstread was not able to suit up against the Niners last week, which resulted in a blowout loss for Miami, and Tua’s QBR this season is 84.6 with Armstead on the field, and 13.0 without him, so yeah, he’s pretty important.

The Chargers aren’t expected to have star safety Derwin James available for this game, which would be as equally as big of a blow to Armstead not being available for the Dolphins, and will likely be without starting cornerback Byce Callahan as well. I don’t have much faith in Chargers head coach Brandon Staley not making a couple of boneheaded decisions, but with this line moving to 3.5 I’m going to avoid the hook, and grab the Dolphins on the moneyline. If Armstead ends up playing, I’ll definitely be sprinkling a little something on the over as well.

Dolphins ML (-170) 1.5 unit

Bonus Pick:

Jaylen Waddle over 67.5 receiving yards (-115) 1 unit Jeff Wilson anytime touchdown scorer (+110) .5 unit

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jags

Game Preview & Pick:

I recommended grabbing the Titans -3.5 in my Early Leans preview, and I’m going to stick with that, although I wouldn’t blame you for going the safer route and taking the moneyline. I’m expecting a big game from King Henry in this one, and for Tennessee to come out fired up after Titans ownership decided to part ways with their general manager, Jon Robinson, earlier in the week, which I’m sure head coach Mike Vrabel undoubtedly played a part in.

Titans -3.5 (-105) 1 unit

Bonus Pick:

Derrick Henry over 89.5 rushing yards (-130) 1.5 unit

Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Giants

Game Preview & Pick:

Giants running back Saquoan Barkley is questionable for this game with a neck injury, but I think he’ll end up playing – how limited or effective he’ll be is another story, though. New York’s offensive line is banged up, and that could spell trouble against an Eagles defense that’s 2nd in sack rate on the season. Daniel Jones has been better than I expected in his first year under head coach Brian Daboll, but he’s still a quarterback who’s been prone to fumbles over the course of his career, and I can see that coming into play in this one.

The Giants are giving up 141.1 yards per game on the ground, and are expected to be without the services of their best defensive lineman, Leonard Williams, while Philadelphia’s 154.6 rushing yards per game ranks 5th in the NFL. I’m always hesitant to lay a touchdown in a divisional game, but I think the Giants have been playing above their talent level all season (Brian Daboll is a really, really good coach), and the Eagles are just a much better team.

Eagles -7 (-115) 1 unit