Kansas City Chiefs -8.5 (-110) vs Jacksonville Jags
I’m having a hard time wrapping my mind around how Brandon Staley’s still the head coach of the Chargers, but I guess they’re Chargering into next season… Don’t get me wrong, I was on the Jags last week, so I couldn’t be happier with how things worked out, but damn. I don’t see history repeating itself twice, though, so I’m grabbing this line now while it’s still under 10 points, which is the amount the Chiefs beat the Jags by at Arrowhead back in week 10.
Patrick Mahomes is the best football player on the planet, and although Trevor Lawerence has apparently never lost a football game on a Saturday in his life, all good things must come to an end, especially when your defense ranked 24th in the red zone. Arrowhead is going to be rocking, especially considering this could be the only home playoff game their fans will see this postseason. Teams that are riding the wave of emotion that Jacksonville is at the moment after their thrilling come from behind victory last weekend don’t typically fare well the following week, so I’ll be surprised if Kansas City doesn’t win this game by double-digits.
New York Giants +7.5 @ Philadelphia Eagles
This pick is strictly based on Brian Daboll, who is my pick for COY. What he has done in his first season as the Giants head coach has been mind blowing, and it started back during week 1 when he showed that he has balls of steel by going for 2 points and the win, instead of settling for overtime. Just the fact that the Giants managed to cover against the Eagles in week 18 while resting their starters is a testament to the culture he has instilled in that locker room. Daniel Jones is playing at a level I never thought he was capable of, and looks like a legitimate franchise quarterback. It’s not easy for an NFL team to beat an opponent 3 times in a season, and while I would be shocked if the Giants win this game, I trust Daboll to figure out a way to keep it within a touchdown.