Previewing the Panthers and Maple Leafs Matchup

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Playoff record: 5-1 (+3.65 units)

Heading into this series, fans from both sides must be a bit surprised to be here. Toronto’s struggles in the playoffs are well documented and Florida went up against the team with the most regular season points in history and #1 seed. When the Florida Panthers and the Toronto Maple Leafs face off on the ice, there’s a good chance that it will be a high-scoring game. Here are six reasons why we can expect to see more than 6.5 goals in this matchup, supported by statistical evidence.

Offensive Powerhouses: Both the Panthers and the Maple Leafs have some of the most potent offenses in the NHL this season. As of May 2, the Panthers ranked sixth in the league in goals scored with 288 goals, while the Maple Leafs were close behind in ninth place with 278 goals this season.

Weak Panthers Defense: The Panthers finished 21st in goals this season with 272 goals given up.

Recent Scoring Trends: In their 7 game series against the Bruins, the total of 6.5 went 5-2 with 4 straight games of over 6.5 goals for the Panthers. On the other side of the matchup, in their 6 game series against the Lightning, the Leafs went 4-2 on the over 6.5 goals.

History of high scoring games: The Over is 10-4-1 in the past 15 meetings between the Panthers and Leafs, including 5-1-1 in the past 7 games in Toronto.

Strong Power Plays: Both the Panthers and the Maple Leafs have been effective on the power play this season, which could lead to more goals in this matchup. The Panthers rank tenth in the league with a power play success rate of 22.8%, while the Maple Leafs are even better at second with a success rate of 26.0%. The Panthers are 31st out of 32 teams in power play minutes. That should give the Leafs plenty of chances.

Goaltender Struggles: While both teams have talented goaltenders, they have also had some struggles this season. Panthers goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky has a save percentage of just .901 this playoffs and a 3.94 GAA.

In conclusion, there are several statistical reasons to believe that the game between the Florida Panthers and the Toronto Maple Leafs will be a high-scoring affair with more than 6.5 goals scored. Both teams have powerful offenses, weak defenses, recent scoring trends, a history of high-scoring games, strong power plays, and goaltender struggles. While anything can happen in hockey, it’s reasonable to expect a high-scoring game when these two teams take the ice.

Pick: OVER 6.5 goals 1.2 units to win 1 unit